ANALYSIS - CIVIL Today

INFOGRAPHIC | Key blocs and political rivals in Bulgaria’s election: Prospects for a government [UPDATED]
Rumen Radev’s ‘Progressive Bulgaria’ leads the polls, but a path to a stable 121-seat majority remains narrow and fraught with ideological rifts.

Apr 19, 2026 | ANALYSIS, ELECTIONS, NEWSLETTER, POLITICS, REGION

By Xhabir Deralla For latest results, go to: POST-ELECTION UPDATE 2: The End of the Deadlock at...

Magyar Wins. Hungary’s Real Test Begins.
What’s next for Hungary and Europe after Péter Magyar’s landslide victory?

Apr 13, 2026 | ANALYSIS, ELECTIONS, EUROPE, NEWSLETTER, POLITICS

By Xhabir Deralla Following the parliamentary elections of 12 April 2026, Hungary enters a new...

The Digital Front: How Russia Targets Hungary’s Elections
How coordinated digital campaigns, disinformation, and hybrid tactics shape public opinion—and what Hungary reveals about political influence operations in Europe.

Apr 11, 2026 | DISINFO, ANALYSIS, ELECTIONS, NEWSLETTER, POLITICS

Editor’s note (April 11, 2026):This analysis was originally published in Macedonian on March 14,...

Saving Orbán: Anatomy of a Cross-Border Propaganda Operation
Incident or propaganda operation? Explosives “found” near energy infrastructure in Serbia raise suspicions of a controlled crisis aimed at influencing Hungary’s election outcome in Orbán’s favor.

Apr 11, 2026 | ANALYSIS, ELECTIONS, HYBRID THREATS, NEWSLETTER

Editor’s note (April 11, 2026):This analysis was originally published in Macedonian on April 6,...

GUARDIANS OF ORBÁN’S THRONE: Has Fidesz Fired All Its Bullets?
The final attempt to engineer a crisis and delay the vote appears to have failed—but as the clock ticks down, the question remains: does Fidesz still have any bullets left?

Apr 11, 2026 | ANALYSIS, EUROPE, NEWSLETTER, POLITICS, PROPAGANDA

By Ljubomir Kostovski When Prime Minister Viktor Orbán failed in his attempt to create a shock by...

THE GUARDIANS OF ORBÁN’S THRONE: The Newest Enemy Was Chosen in 2024 – Ukraine

Apr 10, 2026 | ANALYSIS, ELECTIONS, EUROPE, NEWSLETTER, POLITICS, PROPAGANDA

The one most satisfied with the position of the Hungarian prime minister in the period after 2024...

Israeli Experts and Orbán’s Last Attempt to Stay in Power: Find Yourself a Good Enemy
The man who helped Viktor Orbán and Benjamin Netanyahu rise to power and remain there early in their careers developed a political formula that never goes out of date – polarization and hatred

Apr 8, 2026 | ANALYSIS, ELECTIONS, EUROPE, NEWSLETTER, POLITICS, PROPAGANDA

By Ljubomir Kostovski “It is good to have an enemy,” says George Birnbaum, one of the...

Russia’s Failed Offensive: Ukraine Holds the Line

Apr 3, 2026 | WAR IN UKRAINE, ANALYSIS, NEWSLETTER, WARS & CONFLICTS

Despite months of buildup and intensified assaults, Moscow’s push has failed to deliver a...

Algorithmic Suppression: When information isn’t removed, but simply made unseen
You are not being censored—you are being made invisible

Mar 29, 2026 | ANALYSIS, DEMOCRACY, MEDIA, NEWSLETTER

By Xhabir Deralla Have you noticed a sudden plunge in the visibility of your personal or...

Slovenia’s Elections and the Balkan Disinformation Corridor: Inside the Network Shaping Europe’s New Political Warfare
Foreign manipulation, hybrid operations, and the Slovenian elections as a test case for Europe’s democratic resilience

Mar 21, 2026 | ANALYSIS, DEMOCRACY, EUROPE, HYBRID THREATS, NEWSLETTER

By Xhabir DerallaWith contributions from the CIVIL Hybrid Threats Monitoring Team (CHTM) As...

Energy as a Battlefield: Ukraine’s Wartime Resilience and Europe’s Strategic Test
The war behind the frontlines

Mar 20, 2026 | ANALYSIS, NEWSLETTER, SECURITY & DEFENSE, WAR IN UKRAINE

By Xhabir Deralla When we marked the fourth year since the beginning of Russia’s full-scale war of...

Kosovo, Deterrence, and the Shadow of Hybrid Warfare in the Western Balkans
A debate in Washington over KFOR troop levels exposes a deeper strategic reality: Kosovo remains the geopolitical fulcrum where Serbia’s ambitions, Russian hybrid operations, and Western deterrence collide.

Mar 18, 2026 | ANALYSIS, NATO, NEWSLETTER, SECURITY & DEFENSE

By Xhabir Deralla CIVIL Today | with The Balkan Forum Not knowing something is sometimes...

Category: ANALYSIS

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